摘要: |
为保障新时期粮食安全,我国实施了粮食安全省长责任制。而农业服务业是顺应我国农业发展转型趋势、实现农业高质量发展的必走之路,因此也是粮食安全省长责任制所期望促进发展的目标。本研究基于粮食安全省长责任制的政策文本,从产业链环节、粮食产销区类型角度入手,量化并区分国家和各省级单位对农业服务业的考核强度,进而采用连续型双重差分、事件分析等估计方法,并利用2009—2019年30个省份的面板数据,实证检验了粮食安全省长责任制对我国农业服务业发展的影响。研究发现:(1)粮食安全省长责任制的实施显著促进了我国农业服务业的发展,并且具有持续增强的动态效应。其中,农地规模化经营和服务组织发展是政策促进农业服务业发展的两个重要路径;(2)粮食安全省长责任制对农业服务业的影响在产业链的不同环节存在异质性,影响程度按照产前、产中、产后环节依次递减;(3)这种异质性还会受到粮食产销区不同类型的影响,在产中和产后环节,政策对主产区农业服务业发展的影响大于非主产区,而在产前环节不会受到产销区不同类型的影响。 |
关键词: 粮食安全省长责任制 农业服务业 产业链环节 农地规模化 农业服务组织 |
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基金项目:国家社会科学基金重大项目“党的十八大以来党领导维护国家粮食安全的实践和经验研究”(项目编号:22ZDA117) |
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Does the Governor Responsibility System of Food Security Promote the Development of Agricultural Service Industry? |
lining1, 赵霞2
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1.Center for Food Security and Strategic Studies, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics;2.Center for Food Security and Strategic Studies, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, Nanjing
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Abstract: |
In order to ensure food security in the new era, China has implemented the governor responsibility system of food Security. Agricultural service industry is a necessary way to comply with the trend of agricultural development transformation and achieve high-quality agricultural development in China, so it is also the goal of promoting development expected by the governor responsibility system of food security. Based on the analysis of policy texts of the governor responsibility system for food security, this study quantified and differentiated the assessment intensity of national and provincial units on agricultural service industry from the perspective of industrial chain and types of grain production areas, and then adopted continuous differential and event analysis estimation methods, and used panel data of 30 provinces from 2009 to 2019. The study found that: (1) The governor responsibility system of food security has significantly promoted the development of China’s agricultural service industry after a series of robustness tests, and has a continuously enhanced dynamic effect. The expansion of farmland management scale and the development of agricultural service organizations are two important ways to promote the development of agricultural service industry; (2) The impact of the governor responsibility system of food security on the agricultural service industry is heterogeneous in different links of the industrial chain, and the impact degree decreases according to the pre-production, in-production and post-production links. (3) This heterogeneity is also affected by different types of grain production areas. In the in-production and post-production, policy have a greater impact on the development of agricultural service industry in main grain production areas than in non-main production areas, while in the pre-production, policies are not affected by different types of grain production areas. |
Key words: Governor responsibility system of food security Agricultural service industry Industrial Chain link Agricultural land scale Agricultural service organizations |